Jared ShusterFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.1

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

37%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

1.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-06	vs MIL	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-03	vs LAD	2.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-12	vs BOS	2.4	-	-	-	1
2026-04-11	vs BOS	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-04	vs DET	-7.3	-	-	-	1
2025-05-30	@ BAL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-05-27	@ NYM	5.5	-	-	-	2
2025-05-17	@ CHC	0.3	-	-	-	0
2025-05-15	@ CIN	4.0	-	-	-	1
2025-05-08	@ KC	-6.6	-	-	-	1
2025-05-03	vs HOU	2.7	-	-	-	2
2025-05-01	vs MIL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-04-29	vs MIL	-0.1	-	-	-	1
2025-04-25	@ ATH	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2025-04-23	@ MIN	5.0	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts