Daniel PalenciaFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

2.7

Projection

-1.7

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

33%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

2.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-15	vs COL	7.7	-	-	-	3
2026-06-10	@ COL	-3.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	vs SF	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	vs SF	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs ATH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs ATH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-30	@ STL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-26	@ PIT	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-20	vs MIL	3.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-17	@ CWS	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-14	@ ATL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-10	@ TEX	-1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-05-07	vs CIN	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-05-05	vs CIN	1.6	0	0	0	0
2026-04-12	vs PIT	5.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts