Joe RossFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

0.4

Projection

-4.3

Floor (p10)

4.4

Ceiling (p90)

51%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

1.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-27	@ TOR	0.6	-	-	-	2
2026-06-23	@ MIA	8.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	vs SD	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	vs MIN	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-15	vs MIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-02	vs ATL	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-03-30	vs DET	-12.1	-	-	-	1
2026-03-28	@ LAD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-25	@ NYM	-4.8	-	-	-	1
2025-08-20	vs SEA	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-08-17	@ WSH	2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-08-13	@ CIN	7.0	-	-	-	2
2025-08-12	@ CIN	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-08-06	vs BAL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-20	vs LAA	3.4	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts