Reynaldo LópezFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

6.5

Projection

-1.1

Floor (p10)

15.1

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

5.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs STL	19.4	-	-	-	6
2026-06-26	@ SF	4.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs MIL	11.6	-	-	-	3
2026-06-17	vs SF	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	vs SF	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-14	@ NYM	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs PIT	5.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-04	vs TOR	-7.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-31	@ CIN	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-28	@ BOS	3.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-24	vs WSH	4.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-17	vs BOS	7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-05-14	vs CHC	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-09	@ LAD	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-03	@ COL	3.0	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts