Javier AssadFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

7.0

Projection

-0.6

Floor (p10)

15.6

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

7.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs SD	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ NYM	11.1	-	-	-	5
2026-06-17	vs COL	7.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	@ SF	21.1	-	-	-	5
2026-06-07	vs SF	22.4	-	-	-	5
2026-05-15	@ CWS	2.7	-	-	-	1
2026-05-08	@ TEX	9.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-05	vs CIN	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-25	@ LAD	-8.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-23	vs PHI	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-19	vs NYM	14.9	-	-	-	3
2026-04-13	@ PHI	-10.1	-	-	-	3
2026-04-07	@ TB	16.9	-	-	-	3
2025-09-28	vs STL	21.6	-	-	-	6
2025-09-20	@ CIN	6.0	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts