Graham AshcraftFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

3.3

Projection

-1.2

Floor (p10)

7.5

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

3.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-25	@ NYM	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-23	vs STL	9.2	-	-	-	3
2026-05-20	@ PHI	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-18	@ PHI	-1.4	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	@ CLE	-10.4	-	-	-	0
2026-05-13	vs WSH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-10	vs HOU	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-09	vs HOU	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-06	@ CHC	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-04	@ CHC	6.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-02	@ PIT	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-04-28	vs COL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-25	vs DET	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-24	vs DET	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-19	@ MIN	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts