Matt WaldronFITTED MODEL

P · SD · MLB

4.5

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

13.2

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

5.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-14	@ MIL	11.9	-	-	-	4
2026-05-12	@ MIL	-6.0	-	-	-	3
2026-05-06	@ SF	22.1	-	-	-	7
2026-04-29	vs CHC	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-23	@ COL	-1.4	-	-	-	3
2026-04-17	@ LAA	-1.8	-	-	-	4
2025-06-30	@ PHI	1.3	-	-	-	3
2024-09-29	@ AZ	1.0	-	-	-	3
2024-08-21	vs MIN	-12.7	-	-	-	3
2024-08-16	@ COL	4.8	-	-	-	6
2024-08-10	@ MIA	4.3	-	-	-	5
2024-08-04	vs COL	21.8	-	-	-	7
2024-07-30	vs LAD	7.4	-	-	-	6
2024-07-24	@ WSH	11.9	-	-	-	4
2024-07-19	@ CLE	17.9	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts