Tanner HouckFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

4.1

Projection

-3.5

Floor (p10)

12.7

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

7.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-05-12	@ DET	-24.6	-	-	-	0
2025-05-07	vs TEX	5.1	-	-	-	2
2025-05-01	@ TOR	22.8	-	-	-	6
2025-04-26	@ CLE	9.2	-	-	-	6
2025-04-20	vs CWS	20.5	-	-	-	7
2025-04-14	@ TB	-21.9	-	-	-	1
2025-04-09	vs TOR	12.8	-	-	-	2
2025-04-03	@ BAL	10.2	-	-	-	6
2025-03-28	@ TEX	2.8	-	-	-	2
2024-09-23	@ TOR	10.1	-	-	-	0
2024-09-18	@ TB	12.0	-	-	-	4
2024-09-04	@ NYM	13.7	-	-	-	7
2024-08-30	@ DET	21.3	-	-	-	6
2024-08-25	vs AZ	-1.7	-	-	-	2
2024-08-19	@ HOU	20.1	-	-	-	8

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts