Dane DunningFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

3.0

Projection

-1.4

Floor (p10)

6.7

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

2.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-17	@ WSH	0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-12	vs HOU	2.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-19	vs CWS	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-31	@ CIN	-13.0	-	-	-	0
2025-07-26	@ TEX	12.5	-	-	-	4
2025-07-23	vs SF	-6.3	-	-	-	0
2025-07-20	vs NYY	7.0	-	-	-	2
2025-07-10	@ LAA	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-07-08	@ LAA	10.5	-	-	-	3
2025-07-02	vs BAL	7.0	-	-	-	1
2025-06-23	@ BAL	3.5	-	-	-	2
2025-04-29	vs ATH	5.2	-	-	-	3
2024-09-28	@ LAA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-09-21	vs SEA	9.4	-	-	-	5
2024-08-30	vs OAK	-7.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts