Steven MatzFITTED MODEL

P · TB · MLB

5.5

Projection

-2.1

Floor (p10)

14.1

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

5.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-23	vs KC	-5.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-19	vs WSH	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-15	@ LAD	3.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	vs BOS	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	@ MIA	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-02	vs DET	-5.8	-	-	-	2
2026-05-27	@ BAL	-6.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-20	vs BAL	14.0	-	-	-	5
2026-05-03	vs SF	9.9	-	-	-	1
2026-04-27	@ CLE	12.8	-	-	-	2
2026-04-21	vs CIN	1.9	-	-	-	4
2026-04-16	@ CWS	11.8	-	-	-	4
2026-04-10	vs NYY	18.2	-	-	-	7
2026-04-04	@ MIN	25.1	-	-	-	8
2026-03-29	@ STL	3.0	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts