Carlos CarrascoFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

3.1

Projection

-1.3

Floor (p10)

6.8

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

3.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-23	@ SD	0.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-17	vs SF	6.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ CWS	-1.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-27	@ BOS	6.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-24	vs WSH	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-04	@ SEA	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-04-23	@ WSH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-13	@ NYM	-8.9	-	-	-	2
2025-08-07	vs MIA	-1.9	-	-	-	2
2025-07-31	@ CIN	12.1	-	-	-	5
2025-05-04	vs TB	5.2	-	-	-	3
2025-04-30	@ BAL	4.7	-	-	-	5
2025-04-25	vs TOR	12.2	-	-	-	2
2025-04-19	@ TB	-1.8	-	-	-	1
2025-04-14	vs KC	15.4	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts