Jon GrayFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

3.1

Projection

-1.3

Floor (p10)

6.9

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

2.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-16	@ TOR	-0.9	-	-	-	3
2025-08-11	vs AZ	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-08-04	vs NYY	14.8	-	-	-	5
2025-07-29	@ LAA	-8.1	-	-	-	1
2025-07-26	vs ATL	10.2	-	-	-	3
2025-07-23	vs ATH	3.9	-	-	-	0
2024-08-30	vs OAK	9.5	-	-	-	5
2024-08-24	@ CLE	-12.9	-	-	-	1
2024-08-20	vs PIT	4.7	-	-	-	2
2024-07-28	@ TOR	0.0	0	0	0	-
2024-07-23	vs CWS	22.9	-	-	-	5
2024-07-19	vs BAL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-07-08	@ LAA	5.7	-	-	-	2
2024-07-03	vs SD	1.6	-	-	-	2
2024-06-27	@ BAL	-8.8	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts