Bailey OberFITTED MODEL

P · MIN · MLB

10.8

Projection

-2.0

Floor (p10)

22.7

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

11.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-30	@ PIT	-5.3	-	-	-	3
2026-05-24	@ BOS	5.0	-	-	-	3
2026-05-17	vs MIL	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-12	vs MIA	38.0	-	-	-	7
2026-05-06	@ WSH	2.5	-	-	-	3
2026-04-30	vs TOR	11.9	-	-	-	2
2026-04-25	@ TB	11.9	-	-	-	3
2026-04-19	vs CIN	30.1	-	-	-	10
2026-04-13	vs BOS	14.1	-	-	-	7
2026-04-08	vs DET	9.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-03	vs TB	7.4	-	-	-	4
2026-03-29	@ BAL	2.0	-	-	-	1
2025-09-25	@ TEX	21.7	-	-	-	5
2025-09-20	vs CLE	-4.8	-	-	-	1
2025-09-14	vs AZ	20.5	-	-	-	9

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts