Colin ReaFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

9.0

Projection

1.4

Floor (p10)

17.6

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

8.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs SD	10.7	-	-	-	5
2026-06-26	@ MIL	12.4	-	-	-	4
2026-06-20	vs TOR	16.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-14	@ SF	0.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ COL	-7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	vs ATH	10.4	-	-	-	3
2026-05-28	@ PIT	13.2	-	-	-	5
2026-05-23	vs HOU	13.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-17	@ CWS	5.7	-	-	-	4
2026-05-12	@ ATL	-3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-06	vs CIN	14.6	-	-	-	5
2026-05-01	vs AZ	15.2	-	-	-	6
2026-04-25	@ LAD	-2.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-20	vs PHI	18.2	-	-	-	5
2026-04-14	@ PHI	15.1	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts