Jake IrvinFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

11.5

Projection

-1.3

Floor (p10)

23.4

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

11.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-23	@ ATL	24.6	-	-	-	7
2026-05-18	vs NYM	12.8	-	-	-	6
2026-05-13	@ CIN	-0.7	-	-	-	4
2026-05-07	vs MIN	1.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-01	vs MIL	9.2	-	-	-	5
2026-04-25	@ CWS	27.8	-	-	-	9
2026-04-20	vs ATL	10.2	-	-	-	4
2026-04-15	@ PIT	12.4	-	-	-	5
2026-04-10	@ MIL	11.1	-	-	-	5
2026-04-04	vs LAD	-1.0	-	-	-	4
2026-03-29	@ CHC	18.9	-	-	-	7
2025-09-27	vs CWS	13.3	-	-	-	6
2025-09-21	@ NYM	13.2	-	-	-	5
2025-09-16	vs ATL	7.5	-	-	-	5
2025-09-10	@ MIA	10.2	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts