Chad GreenFITTED MODEL

P · TOR · MLB

1.7

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.7

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

0.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-07-29	@ BAL	-6.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-27	@ DET	-4.3	-	-	-	1
2025-07-24	@ DET	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-19	vs SF	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2025-07-12	@ ATH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-07	@ CWS	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-07-04	vs LAA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-03	vs NYY	3.8	-	-	-	1
2025-07-01	vs NYY	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-06-30	vs NYY	0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-06-26	@ CLE	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-06-24	@ CLE	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-06-21	vs CWS	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-06-20	vs CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-06-18	vs AZ	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts