Tyler AlexanderFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs DET	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	@ CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	@ TOR	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ TOR	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ MIA	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-22	@ MIA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	vs SD	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	vs MIN	4.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ KC	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs CLE	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-01	@ STL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-30	vs KC	-5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	vs KC	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-27	vs HOU	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-23	@ LAA	0.3	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts