Justin SlatenFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

1.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs WSH	2.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	vs NYY	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	vs NYY	5.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-24	@ COL	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	@ COL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	@ SEA	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-18	vs TOR	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-13	vs TEX	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ TB	-4.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	@ NYY	-4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-05	@ NYY	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-30	@ CLE	5.8	-	-	-	2
2026-05-22	vs MIN	-7.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-19	@ KC	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-18	@ KC	6.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts