Trent ThorntonFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

2.4

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs SD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-29	vs SD	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ MIL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-25	@ NYM	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ NYM	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	vs TOR	-4.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	vs COL	1.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-12	@ SF	5.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	vs SF	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-04	vs ATH	1.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-31	@ STL	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-28	@ PIT	3.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-25	@ PIT	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-23	vs HOU	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-20	vs MIL	7.8	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts