Justin LawrenceFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

1.7

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

5.7

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-27	@ BAL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-20	@ AZ	-8.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-18	@ TEX	1.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-13	vs STL	-4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ DET	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	vs KC	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-04	vs KC	3.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	vs CWS	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-27	vs CHC	5.3	-	-	-	3
2026-05-22	@ TOR	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-20	@ STL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-17	vs PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-16	vs PHI	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-13	vs COL	0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-10	@ SF	0.9	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts