David BednarFITTED MODEL

P · NYY · MLB

3.3

Projection

-1.2

Floor (p10)

7.5

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

3.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	@ BOS	5.9	0	0	0	1
2026-06-24	@ DET	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	@ DET	3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	vs CIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	@ TOR	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	@ TOR	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-08	@ CLE	9.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-07	vs BOS	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-04	vs CLE	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-31	@ ATH	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-25	@ KC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-22	vs TB	7.7	-	-	-	3
2026-05-18	vs TOR	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-17	@ NYM	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-15	@ NYM	-1.6	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts