Luke LittleFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

1.1

Projection

-3.6

Floor (p10)

5.0

Ceiling (p90)

47%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

3.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-15	@ PHI	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-08-18	vs MIL	10.7	-	-	-	4
2025-04-16	@ SD	-2.9	-	-	-	0
2024-07-12	@ STL	0.0	-	-	-	-
2024-07-10	@ BAL	2.3	-	-	-	1
2024-07-07	vs LAA	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2024-07-03	vs PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-06-29	@ MIL	3.0	-	-	-	1
2024-06-27	@ SF	8.2	-	-	-	3
2024-06-23	vs NYM	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-06-21	vs NYM	5.2	-	-	-	1
2024-06-17	vs SF	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2024-06-14	vs STL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2024-06-06	@ CIN	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2024-06-04	vs CWS	6.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts