Jorge AlcalaFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

2.0

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

6.0

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-27	@ CHC	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-23	@ SF	3.2	-	-	-	3
2025-09-17	vs CIN	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-09-14	@ MIL	4.4	-	-	-	1
2025-09-12	@ MIL	-1.4	-	-	-	1
2025-09-09	@ SEA	0.3	-	-	-	0
2025-09-08	@ SEA	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-30	@ CIN	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-08-29	@ CIN	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-26	vs PIT	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-08-22	@ TB	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-18	@ MIA	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-08-17	vs NYY	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-08-15	vs NYY	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-12	vs COL	2.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts