Lucas ErcegFITTED MODEL

P · KC · MLB

1.5

Projection

-3.1

Floor (p10)

5.5

Ceiling (p90)

44%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

0.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs TB	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-26	@ CWS	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ TB	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs STL	3.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	@ WSH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	vs HOU	3.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-10	vs TEX	-1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	@ MIN	0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-06	@ MIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	@ CIN	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	@ TEX	-9.0	-	-	-	0
2026-05-25	vs NYY	-4.2	0	0	0	0
2026-05-24	vs SEA	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-17	@ STL	1.6	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts