Alexis DíazFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

1.2

Projection

-3.4

Floor (p10)

5.2

Ceiling (p90)

45%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-15	@ WSH	7.0	-	-	-	3
2025-09-12	vs HOU	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-09	vs CHC	-4.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-17	vs SD	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-15	vs SD	4.9	-	-	-	2
2025-08-11	@ LAA	2.4	-	-	-	1
2025-08-09	vs TOR	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-08-05	vs STL	-4.8	-	-	-	0
2025-08-02	@ TB	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-29	@ CIN	3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-07-26	@ BOS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-22	vs MIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-30	vs STL	-11.3	-	-	-	0
2025-04-26	@ COL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-04-21	@ MIA	-6.0	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts