Lucas SimsFITTED MODEL

P · CWS · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

37%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

1.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-22	@ AZ	1.1	-	-	-	2
2026-04-21	@ AZ	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-18	@ ATH	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-04-16	vs TB	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-04-14	vs TB	-1.4	-	-	-	1
2026-04-12	@ KC	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-08	vs BAL	-1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-04-06	vs BAL	7.9	-	-	-	2
2026-04-01	@ MIA	4.7	-	-	-	1
2025-05-09	vs STL	-8.1	-	-	-	0
2025-05-06	vs CLE	-6.5	-	-	-	0
2025-05-02	@ CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-04-29	@ PHI	3.5	-	-	-	1
2025-04-27	vs NYM	4.5	-	-	-	2
2025-04-26	vs NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts