Justin WilsonFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

2.4

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

1.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-25	@ TOR	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-23	@ TOR	4.4	-	-	-	1
2025-09-20	@ TB	-3.7	-	-	-	0
2025-09-17	vs ATH	1.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-16	vs ATH	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-12	vs NYY	1.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-10	@ ATH	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-09-06	@ AZ	8.2	-	-	-	3
2025-09-01	vs CLE	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-29	vs PIT	3.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	@ BAL	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-08-26	@ BAL	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-08-23	@ NYY	2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-08-21	@ NYY	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-19	vs BAL	-2.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts