Elvis PegueroFITTED MODEL

P · CWS · MLB

1.4

Projection

-3.2

Floor (p10)

5.4

Ceiling (p90)

44%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-19	@ ATL	-5.0	-	-	-	0
2025-08-11	vs DET	6.0	-	-	-	3
2025-05-12	@ CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-04-09	@ COL	3.8	-	-	-	1
2025-04-05	vs CIN	3.5	-	-	-	1
2025-04-03	vs CIN	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-03-31	vs KC	-8.6	-	-	-	0
2025-03-29	@ NYY	3.3	-	-	-	0
2024-09-11	@ SF	4.0	-	-	-	2
2024-09-08	vs COL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-03	vs STL	3.0	-	-	-	2
2024-08-16	vs CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2024-08-15	vs LAD	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2024-08-13	vs LAD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-08-08	@ ATL	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts