Adam OttavinoFITTED MODEL

P · NYY · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-07	@ DET	1.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-03	vs AZ	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-04-01	vs AZ	2.9	-	-	-	1
2024-09-30	@ ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-09-30	@ ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-09-27	@ MIL	8.4	-	-	-	3
2024-09-24	@ ATL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-20	vs PHI	-5.0	-	-	-	1
2024-09-17	vs WSH	2.5	-	-	-	1
2024-09-10	@ TOR	3.0	-	-	-	1
2024-09-07	vs CIN	2.8	-	-	-	1
2024-08-30	@ CWS	5.5	-	-	-	2
2024-08-27	@ AZ	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-08-23	@ SD	1.5	-	-	-	1
2024-08-20	vs BAL	2.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts