Luke WeaverFITTED MODEL

P · NYM · MLB

3.7

Projection

-0.8

Floor (p10)

7.9

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

4.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ TOR	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	vs PHI	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-25	vs CHC	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-24	vs CHC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-18	@ PHI	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-16	@ CIN	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-11	vs STL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	@ SD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-05	@ SD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-03	@ SEA	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-01	@ SEA	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	vs MIA	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-27	vs CIN	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-05-24	@ MIA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-21	@ WSH	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts