Tyler KinleyFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs STL	-6.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ SF	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ SD	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs PIT	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-06	vs PIT	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs TOR	3.6	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	@ CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	@ CIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-28	@ BOS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	vs WSH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-22	vs WSH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-18	@ MIA	4.2	0	0	0	1
2026-05-17	vs BOS	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-15	vs BOS	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2026-05-13	vs CHC	0.9	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts