Ryan ThompsonFITTED MODEL

P · AZ · MLB

1.9

Projection

-2.8

Floor (p10)

5.8

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs SF	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-30	vs SF	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ STL	5.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-21	vs MIN	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	vs MIN	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	vs LAA	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	@ CIN	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-09	@ MIA	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-03	vs LAD	6.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	@ SEA	3.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-27	@ SF	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-22	vs COL	1.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-18	vs SF	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-17	@ COL	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-12	@ TEX	1.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts