Kevin GinkelFITTED MODEL

P · AZ · MLB

2.8

Projection

-1.6

Floor (p10)

6.6

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	vs SF	0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ TB	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	@ STL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs MIN	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	vs MIN	-1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-14	@ CIN	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-12	@ CIN	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-09	@ MIA	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs WSH	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-02	vs LAD	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-31	@ SEA	5.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-27	@ SF	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-26	@ SF	3.6	-	-	-	2
2026-05-23	vs COL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-21	vs COL	1.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts