A.J. PukFITTED MODEL

P · AZ · MLB

3.7

Projection

-0.8

Floor (p10)

7.9

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

3.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-17	@ MIA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-16	@ MIA	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-04-13	vs MIL	7.0	0	0	0	3
2025-04-08	vs BAL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-04	@ WSH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-02	@ NYY	1.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-01	@ NYY	3.6	-	-	-	2
2025-03-30	vs CHC	5.0	0	0	0	2
2024-09-28	vs SD	-7.0	-	-	-	0
2024-09-27	vs SD	1.1	-	-	-	0
2024-09-25	vs SF	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-21	@ MIL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-20	@ MIL	7.7	-	-	-	3
2024-09-19	@ MIL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-16	@ COL	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts