Brayan BelloFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

6.5

Projection

-1.1

Floor (p10)

15.1

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

6.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-04	vs BAL	-3.4	-	-	-	4
2026-05-29	@ CLE	23.4	-	-	-	5
2026-05-23	vs MIN	15.8	-	-	-	5
2026-05-17	@ ATL	-7.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-12	vs PHI	19.2	-	-	-	5
2026-05-05	@ DET	24.8	-	-	-	7
2026-04-29	@ TOR	-0.6	-	-	-	2
2026-04-24	@ BAL	-12.9	-	-	-	2
2026-04-18	vs DET	4.2	-	-	-	4
2026-04-12	@ STL	10.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-06	vs MIL	6.1	-	-	-	5
2026-03-31	@ HOU	-2.1	-	-	-	2
2025-09-25	@ TOR	8.4	-	-	-	3
2025-09-18	vs ATH	4.8	-	-	-	3
2025-09-13	vs NYY	5.8	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts