Luis CastilloFITTED MODEL

P · SEA · MLB

10.6

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

22.5

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

9.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-26	@ CLE	16.5	-	-	-	4
2026-06-19	vs BOS	4.8	-	-	-	4
2026-06-13	@ WSH	11.3	-	-	-	4
2026-06-07	@ DET	18.9	-	-	-	5
2026-05-31	vs AZ	12.8	-	-	-	3
2026-05-25	@ ATH	18.6	-	-	-	6
2026-05-19	vs CWS	6.8	-	-	-	4
2026-05-14	@ HOU	14.6	-	-	-	6
2026-05-09	@ CWS	9.4	-	-	-	6
2026-05-03	vs KC	10.1	-	-	-	5
2026-04-27	@ MIN	-2.8	-	-	-	3
2026-04-21	vs ATH	15.1	-	-	-	6
2026-04-16	@ SD	10.0	-	-	-	3
2026-04-11	vs HOU	-7.1	-	-	-	3
2026-04-05	@ LAA	5.5	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts