Chris BassittFITTED MODEL

P · BAL · MLB

6.2

Projection

-1.3

Floor (p10)

14.9

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

7.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-03	@ BOS	-2.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-28	vs TOR	11.9	-	-	-	2
2026-05-22	vs DET	8.2	-	-	-	4
2026-05-16	@ WSH	6.5	-	-	-	4
2026-05-10	vs ATH	19.9	-	-	-	6
2026-05-05	@ MIA	0.4	-	-	-	3
2026-04-30	vs HOU	22.2	-	-	-	7
2026-04-22	@ KC	2.0	-	-	-	3
2026-04-17	@ CLE	10.4	-	-	-	2
2026-04-11	vs SF	7.7	-	-	-	2
2026-04-05	@ PIT	-13.5	-	-	-	0
2026-03-30	vs TEX	1.1	-	-	-	3
2025-09-18	@ TB	3.1	-	-	-	3
2025-09-12	vs BAL	19.4	-	-	-	6
2025-09-06	@ NYY	13.7	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts