Chris DevenskiFITTED MODEL

P · PIT · MLB

2.3

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

6.3

Ceiling (p90)

39%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-02	vs CIN	-1.9	-	-	-	0
2026-04-30	vs STL	5.8	-	-	-	2
2026-04-29	vs STL	0.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	vs WSH	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-08-30	vs MIA	12.2	-	-	-	3
2025-07-29	@ SD	-0.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-21	vs LAA	-0.1	-	-	-	1
2025-07-19	vs CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-12	@ KC	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-07-11	@ KC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-06	vs NYY	7.9	-	-	-	2
2025-07-05	vs NYY	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-06-22	@ PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-06-21	@ PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-05-31	vs COL	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts