Trevor MegillFITTED MODEL

P · MIL · MLB

3.5

Projection

-1.0

Floor (p10)

7.7

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

4.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs CIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	vs CIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	vs CHC	7.7	-	-	-	3
2026-06-26	vs CHC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-23	@ CIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-22	@ CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	@ ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	vs CLE	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-13	vs PHI	7.0	-	-	-	3
2026-06-10	@ ATH	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-05	@ COL	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs SF	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-31	@ HOU	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-29	@ HOU	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-27	vs STL	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts