Joel PayampsFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

1.1

Projection

-3.5

Floor (p10)

5.1

Ceiling (p90)

46%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

1.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-30	vs DET	-3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-26	vs PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-24	vs PHI	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-21	@ WSH	-3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-20	@ WSH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-11	vs CLE	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-10	vs CLE	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-08	@ LAA	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-04-06	@ LAA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-05	@ AZ	-0.6	-	-	-	0
2026-03-31	vs ATH	3.6	-	-	-	2
2026-03-28	vs KC	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-26	vs PIT	0.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-23	vs WSH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-19	@ STL	4.4	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts