Michael TonkinFITTED MODEL

P · MIN · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-26	@ PHI	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	vs CLE	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-16	vs NYY	2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-09-14	vs AZ	1.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-12	vs AZ	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-09-08	@ LAA	5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-09-06	@ KC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-04	vs CWS	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-31	vs SD	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	@ TOR	0.3	-	-	-	1
2025-08-26	@ TOR	0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-08-21	vs ATH	1.4	-	-	-	2
2025-08-17	vs DET	8.2	-	-	-	3
2025-08-16	vs DET	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-14	vs DET	2.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts