Aaron BummerFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

0.9

Projection

-3.7

Floor (p10)

4.9

Ceiling (p90)

48%

Boom (1.5x)

42%

Bust (0.6x)

0.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-18	@ MIA	-12.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-14	vs CHC	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-08	@ LAD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-04	@ SEA	1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-05-03	@ COL	0.5	-	-	-	2
2026-04-30	vs DET	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-04-28	vs DET	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-04-26	vs PHI	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-24	vs PHI	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-21	@ WSH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-20	@ WSH	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-19	@ PHI	0.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-13	vs MIA	-2.1	-	-	-	2
2026-04-11	vs CLE	0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-04-10	vs CLE	0.8	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts