Pierce JohnsonFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

39%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

1.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ MIL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ PIT	-4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-26	@ PIT	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	vs MIL	5.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-26	@ NYM	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-23	vs STL	6.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-19	@ PHI	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-16	@ CLE	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	@ CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-12	vs WSH	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-09	vs HOU	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-08	vs HOU	7.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-06	@ CHC	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-01	@ PIT	-2.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-26	vs DET	-1.7	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts