Matt StrahmFITTED MODEL

P · KC · MLB

1.5

Projection

-3.1

Floor (p10)

5.5

Ceiling (p90)

44%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

0.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs TB	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ CWS	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-25	@ TB	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	@ TB	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs STL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	vs STL	-6.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-17	@ WSH	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	vs HOU	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-12	vs HOU	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-10	vs TEX	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	@ MIN	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-04	@ MIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-02	@ CIN	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	@ STL	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-12	@ CWS	1.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts