Connor BrogdonFITTED MODEL

P · CLE · MLB

2.3

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.3

Ceiling (p90)

39%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-07	@ KC	-0.8	-	-	-	1
2026-05-04	@ KC	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-05-01	@ ATH	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-04-28	vs TB	2.4	-	-	-	0
2026-04-25	@ TOR	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-21	vs HOU	0.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-20	vs HOU	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-17	vs BAL	3.8	-	-	-	2
2026-04-15	@ STL	-4.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-11	@ ATL	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-08	vs KC	9.0	-	-	-	3
2026-04-05	vs CHC	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-04-03	vs CHC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-03-28	@ SEA	3.6	-	-	-	2
2026-03-26	@ SEA	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts