José AlvaradoFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

2.1

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.1

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

2.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs PIT	0.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	@ NYM	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-25	@ WSH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-24	@ WSH	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs NYM	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-18	vs NYM	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-13	@ MIL	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ TOR	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ TOR	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs CWS	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-04	vs SD	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs SD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-30	@ LAD	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-27	@ SD	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-20	vs CIN	-0.9	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts