Michael KellyFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

0.0

Projection

-4.6

Floor (p10)

4.0

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

Bust (0.6x)

0.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-31	vs NYY	-11.3	-	-	-	2
2026-04-04	vs HOU	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-03	vs HOU	1.9	-	-	-	2
2026-03-30	@ ATL	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-03-28	@ TOR	1.8	-	-	-	1
2025-09-28	vs KC	-2.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-27	vs KC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-23	vs HOU	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	@ PIT	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-18	@ BOS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-17	@ BOS	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-14	vs CIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-09-13	vs CIN	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-09-09	vs BOS	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-07	@ LAA	3.5	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts