T.J. McFarlandFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

0.3

Projection

-4.4

Floor (p10)

4.3

Ceiling (p90)

51%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

0.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-06-26	@ DET	-5.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-24	@ DET	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-06-21	vs CLE	2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-06-17	vs HOU	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-15	@ KC	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-06-13	@ KC	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-06-10	@ LAA	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-08	vs BAL	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-06-06	vs BAL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-05-11	vs NYY	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-05-07	vs SEA	0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-05-06	vs SEA	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-05-03	@ MIA	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-05-01	@ TEX	2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-04-29	@ TEX	5.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts