Justin SteeleFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

13.2

Projection

0.4

Floor (p10)

25.1

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

28%

Bust (0.6x)

14.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-07	vs TEX	28.8	-	-	-	8
2025-04-01	@ ATH	14.2	-	-	-	6
2025-03-27	@ AZ	4.5	-	-	-	2
2025-03-19	vs LAD	5.4	-	-	-	5
2024-09-24	@ PHI	8.6	-	-	-	3
2024-09-18	vs OAK	5.0	-	-	-	1
2024-08-27	@ PIT	14.4	-	-	-	6
2024-08-22	vs DET	29.4	-	-	-	10
2024-08-17	vs TOR	9.9	-	-	-	3
2024-08-10	@ CWS	24.7	-	-	-	8
2024-08-04	vs STL	19.4	-	-	-	6
2024-07-30	@ CIN	9.2	-	-	-	7
2024-07-24	vs MIL	10.6	-	-	-	4
2024-07-19	vs AZ	5.3	-	-	-	6
2024-07-11	@ BAL	21.9	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts