Julian MerryweatherFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

1.3

Projection

-3.3

Floor (p10)

5.3

Ceiling (p90)

45%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

1.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-05-23	@ CIN	-4.9	-	-	-	0
2025-05-18	vs CWS	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-05-16	vs CWS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-05-13	vs MIA	-5.5	-	-	-	0
2025-05-10	@ NYM	1.1	-	-	-	2
2025-05-07	vs SF	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-05-04	@ MIL	-5.0	-	-	-	0
2025-05-03	@ MIL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-05-01	@ PIT	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-04-27	vs PHI	-2.9	-	-	-	0
2025-04-23	vs LAD	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-04-20	vs AZ	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-04-18	vs AZ	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-04-15	@ SD	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-04-13	@ LAD	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts